Examining the effects of interactions between driver-vehicle units on driver injury severities of work zone crashes
Qiang Zeng, Yingqin Gu, Manman Lan,
Huaying Zhu, Xiaofei Wang
Pages: 135-152
Abstract:
Most of the crash severity analysis at
the level of driver-vehicle units merely considers the effects of driver and
vehicle factors of the own unit, while neglects the interactive effects from
the other unit. This study aims to examine the interactions effects in work
zone crashes, using a two-vehicle crash dataset from the Crash Report
Sampling System. To simultaneously accommodate the order nature, within-crash
correlation, and temporal correlation, a Bayesian hierarchical generalized
ordered Logit model with random walk is proposed, to establish a relationship
between the driver injury severity and the observed factors related to
drivers and vehicles of both units, together with those pertaining to
roadway, work zone, environment, and crash configurations. The results of
model estimation indicate that driver injury severity is significantly
affected by the driver gender and age, vehicle type and age of both units,
which explicitly revealed the interactive effects between driver-vehicle
units within the same work zone crash. Additionally, the driver injury
severity is also associated with their speeding and seat belt use behaviors,
type of work zones, speed limit, number of lanes, season, day of week, time
of day, collision manner, and the involvement of alcohol and rollover. Their
marginal effects are also estimated. Some factors, such as speeding and
rollover, are expected to increase the probability of serious and fatal
injury up to 6% or more. Based on the findings, some strategies for preventing
severe traffic injury in work zones are recommended. Besides, significant
within-crash correlation and temporal correlation are uncovered, and the
values of model assessment indicators justify the appropriateness and
strength of the proposed model.
Keywords: work zone crash; driver injury severity;
interactive effects; within-crash correlation; temporal correlation; Bayesian
hierarchical generalized ordered Logit model with random walk
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